Aug 9, 2011

DAY 70

2 areas have been circled on the Hurricane Centers Two Day. The first area in the north Atlantic is the remnants of Emily. And the other area down to the south is Invest 92L which has been reinstated and given a 10% chance to develop in the next 48 hours.

The remnants of what used to be Emily has now made the transformation into a sub-tropical storm. From the visible satellite loop you can see it by the storms shape. The swirl is clearly visible with no convection in it, and then there's the long tail extending off to the south. The mass of convection is far removed from the center. The NHC has given it a 10% chance of cyclone re-development in the next 48 hours.

92L has been put back on the NHC's watch list. It has been given it's designation back and also circled with a 10% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours. It looks like there are dueling lows, kinda like Emily had for much of her trek across the Atlantic. The main area here though is out in front of the secondary circulation. Conditions in the Atlantic are still a little dry but a bit more favorable than when Emily was out there. The global models are all developing this system at some point next week, but a lot can happen until then.

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