Jul 16, 2011

DAY 46

The National Hurricane Center is watching that area of low pressure off the east coast of Florida tonight that has been labeled 98L. It has started to acquire some spin and the atmosphere will start to become more conducive for development in the next day or so. NHC is giving it a 20% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.

It has started to develop some thunderstorms close to the center of circulation which will help it strengthen and organize. It appears to have a slight southward movement to it at the moment but is expected to turn back to the west and have more of an impact of Florida. Regardless of development, Florida will see rain showers as a result of this system.

A look at some nearby buoy data shows that wind speed and wind gusts have risen throughout the day, the highest gust at more than 30 knots. Surface pressure at this buoy has also started to drop.

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