Jul 13, 2011

DAY 42

The two areas highlighted by the National Hurricane Center yesterday have been dropped from the TWO day. However, Central America remains a very active part of the tropics as a convergence zone continues to interact with passing tropical waves. There is no obvious sign of development in the near future but the Hurricane Center may re-circle this area some time tomorrow due to the continual guidance from forecast models and the broad area of thunderstorms that remain in that area.

Another spot to watch will be our backyard area. Once again computer forecast models are hinting of a trapped frontal boundary spinning up off the southeastern seaboard. Once again the leading model in this scenario is the Canadian which has been wrong 2 out of 3 times that it has drawn up this solution this year. The one time it was correct was on opening day June first when a surface low crossed Florida.

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