Jul 24, 2011

DAY 54

Invest 90L had a ruff day but it is still alive. It's located near the Windward Passage between Cuba and Hispaniola. At one point today 90L had all of it's convection stripped away, but tonight those storms were able to refire. There is still no sign that this Invest is consolidating it's very broad appearance.

The Hurricane Center is still listing 90L with a 10% chance of developing over the next 48 hours. All the computer models are sending it into the Gulf of Mexico. 2 of the models shown below, the HWRF and the GFDL are showing 90L developing into a Category 1 hurricane on Wednesday as it impacts the northern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula. Though these models are similar they rarely agree that concisely with each other with location, timing, and intensity. Long term steering is showing a northward movement to this storm after that, we'll have to watch for a possible impact to Texas towards the end of the week.

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