The atmospheric conditions around Ophelia are not improving much, but she has continued to organize. That wind shear will continue to stunt her growth though, and Ophelia will likely not become a hurricane this week. The Hurricane Center is not forecasting Ophelia to become a hurricane over the next 5 days. She is forecast to start moving WNW in about 24 hours which will keep her north of all the Antilles Islands. The computer models have started to come into agreement now on this track.
Invest 99L was reactivated as it moved into the Leeward Islands today. It is not much of a threat to develop into a tropical cyclone, but the circulation of this surface low is impressive none the less. It showed signs yesterday of firing up some convection, but that didn't last. Heavy wind shear has kept this system pretty much void of convection.
(Invest 99L) |
(Radar for Invest 99L) |
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