|(Tropical Storm Ophelia)|
The slow forward motion of Ophelia at just 9 mph, may allow for a lot of changing atmospheric conditions ahead of her. So that track could change a bit over the next few days. But we have seen this over and over again this season. Emily, Irene, Katia, and Maria have all taken this same track. The frequent and deep troughs that are being spun down the US coast will be able to pick this storm up no matter what her timing might be.
Elsewhere, Ex-Invest 99L may have to be reactivated. It is only a couple hundred miles from the Leeward Islands, and it is producing some nice convection right over that swirling surface low that we've been seeing for days. The NHC is giving it a near 0% chance of developing in the next 48 hours, and none of the forecast models show any type of development out of this system.