Jun 8, 2011


The return of upper level shear is what marked the progress of 94L today. In the satellite loop below,  you can see the upswing of a trough coming off of the Yucatan scraping  the northwest side of the tropical disturbance. Towards the end of the loop there are some thunderstorms firing on the western end of Cuba that are getting their tops wiped out.

Things are only going to get worse for 94L as it ventures further into that shear to the north. The Hurricane Center is now only giving it a 10% chance to become a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.

It doesn't have to be a cyclone to be dangerous though. 94L has brought heavy rain to Jamaica, Cuba, and Hispaniola. In Haiti, 23 people are dead and many more are missing after almost a week of rain caused mudslides and widespread flooding.

BTW Tropical Storm Adrian has formed 355 miles south of Acapulco in the Pacific.

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