Jun 23, 2011

DAY 22

Strong vertical wind shear is still preventing development. An area of 50 knot shear is pestering a tropical wave in the Central Caribbean. And an area of 30 knot shear is over the Bay of Campeche. However all the computer forecast models are consistent with reducing shear in that area by the weekend allowing a surface low to develop in the Bay of Campeche by Monday.

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